{"id":47537,"date":"2026-02-17T17:06:00","date_gmt":"2026-02-17T22:06:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/housesigma.com\/blog-en\/?p=47537"},"modified":"2026-02-23T14:26:17","modified_gmt":"2026-02-23T19:26:17","slug":"infographic-greater-edmonton-home-prices-poised-to-fall-in-2026-market-indicators-reveal","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/housesigma.com\/blog-en\/infographic-greater-edmonton-home-prices-poised-to-fall-in-2026-market-indicators-reveal\/","title":{"rendered":"Infographic: Greater Edmonton home prices poised to fall in 2026, market indicators reveal"},"content":{"rendered":"\n

Although Greater Edmonton’s residential resale prices have defied national trends by holding firm throughout 2025<\/a>, multiple market indicators are pointing to the region following other major Canadian cities in seeing home price declines over this year.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

New HouseSigma data analysis on January 2026 market statistics (see infographic below) show a series of six market trends that were also seen recently in Greater Toronto, Metro Vancouver, and Greater Calgary prior to residential resale prices declining in those regions. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

1. Sales have dramatically declined:<\/strong> HouseSigma’s sales data shows Greater Edmonton sales fell 26.3% year-over-year, from 1,592 to 1,173. The RAE’s official Greater Edmonton figure<\/a> is similar, a decrease of 27.6 per cent compared with January 2025. When sales drop, prices usually follow, often with a three- to six-month lag.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

2. Inventory is surging:<\/strong>\u00a0Realtors Association of Edmonton reports 4,901 active listings in January, 32.7% higher than January 2025. The slowing of sales combined with new listings coming on stream has exponentially increased inventory levels. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

3. Market absorption is plummeting:<\/strong>\u00a0The sales-to-active listings ratio puts Greater Edmonton firmly into buyers’ market territory. This ratio is a leading indicator of where prices are heading, as when buyers have the upper hand, prices inevitably fall. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

4. Homes are taking much longer to sell.<\/strong> Average cumulative days on market lengthened to 90 days, from 71 a year earlier. The longer homes take to sell, the more prices have to eventually fall \u2014 and the less pressure buyers have on them to pay full price. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

5. The share of homes selling above asking has collapsed, while below asking has risen:<\/strong> Our infographic shows only 12.7% of January 2026 sales went over asking, while 79.6% sold below list. This below-list proportion has dramatically increased compared with same metric across all of 2025<\/a>.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

6. The benchmark price has already started to crack<\/strong>: While median prices in HouseSigma data still show small year-over-year gains, the MLS Home Price Index \u2014 which controls for the mix of homes selling \u2014 tells a different story. RAE reports<\/a> that the composite benchmark price in Greater Edmonton was $415,000, decreasing 0.1% from December 2025 and 1% year-over-year. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

“Greater Edmonton is clearly a transitioning market. Sales have slowed and inventory is building, which typically puts downward pressure on prices. I expect we\u2019ll see moderate price adjustments in 2026, particularly in the condo segment, but not a severe correction. Affordability and steady demand fundamentals should help prevent a dramatic drop.\u201d<\/p>Jay Sandhu, leading HouseSigma agent in Edmonton<\/cite><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n

Even the notable market outliers are demonstrating lower over-asking extremes. The home that sold in January for most over asking price, by both dollar amount and percentage, was this 1970s Sherwood Park house<\/a>. It sold for $100,100 over its $449,900 asking price, which was a 22.2% premium \u2014 generous, but not as high as some of the outliers we saw in the region last year<\/a>. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

The residential property that went for most under asking by dollar amount was an architecturally striking five-bedroom house in the Heritage Valley area<\/a>, which sold for $349K less than its $2,499,000 list price. By percentage amount, the home that lost the most was a manufactured home in Gibbons<\/a>, the final sale price of $75K being 24.2% lower than its $94,900 asking price. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

Check out the January 2026 Greater Edmonton PriceWatch infographic below for more real estate market data, including breakdowns by property type and municipality. <\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"\"<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Keep your eye on our Alberta blog page<\/a> to stay up to date with market trends, sales data, and remarkable listing stories.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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